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Rikard's avatar

As I was puttering about during the day, among other things going off-road biking with the younger dog - "bitch needs her exercise" I'd call it were I a burp-musician*, I pondered the imponderables of AI.

1) The cheerful optimism surrounding the messaging from proponents (AI can't lie as they claim, AI will break the Woke hold over media since it won't be selectively biased in reporting, and more of the such hopeium-laced ideas) is identical to every saviour-technology ever, including Bitcoin - remember how proponents of Bitcoin and such were dead serious in 2020 that e-money would take off and become commonplace and help smash the system in just 2-3 years?

2) Brother mine uses neural nets and AI at work, including training his own. Currently he's patterning the growth of the systems used [insert 20 minutes of highly technical jargon I lack the basis to understand properly] on ants, and some kind of fungi. One ant is stupid, a stack is exceptionally intelligent within its parameters, while the fungi is super-efficient in optimising its growth-pattern in limited space. The model will apparently be used in a predictive fashion, an electronic sybil if you like, but that is years off. Caveat: I'm not a techno-magus, I'm only summing up the part I did get: emulating existing natural patterns as a model for optimisation and learning.

3) A true Scotsman, I mean AI, must be able to recognise and resolve paradoxes, otherwise it will get stuck just as any computer program. And no, pre-programming or teaching or enabling it to implement a cut-off from the recursion after a set number of repetitions isn't making it a true AI, just a more advanced hole-punch calculating-box. A human wouldn't need to loop more than once before realising a paradox and resovling it.

4) The same goes for such trivial stuff as 10/3 in decimals. A human would instantly understand that the answer will be 3.333333[...]. A computer will spit it out until the heat death of the universe unless preprogrammed with a cut-off. A true AI would need to understand this and why it is so the way we do (example cribbed from Hofstaedter, from his "Gödel, Esher, Bach - An Eternal Golden Braid" - a real mindbender of a book.)

5) If a true AI is created somehow, it will resemble a severly autistic human in its behaviour and reactions. Consider Greta Thunberg, an autistic woman fully convinced we will all be dead due to climate change before 2028. Why? She's not unintelligent as such. Reason: all people feeding her input data select only data that supports what she already believe, creating a bias-loop. Beng autistic, she is supremely gullible, and has a very stunted concept or understanding of deceitfulness, especially in the forms of normal human interaction. An AI has even less understanding of such - tell it you can force10 to the power of 68 gallons of water per second through a drinking straw and it will be truth to the AI - it lacks faculties to recognise the near impossibility of it.

6) The AIs are allegedly self-learning, something which is claimed by people demonstrating no understanding of what [Learning] means. The stereotypical medieval scribe, dutifully copying an illuminated manuscript without knowing how to read or write (or make vellum or bind books or make ink or...) will never /learn/ to read or write from copying scrolls and tomes, not even if he lives longer than Longinus. That x-factor when the human brain learns an action instead on just mimicking, copying, repeating and action, are we to believe that has been coded into an AI?

7) Considering how many humans get by just simulating intelligence, how are we ever to know or decide if a machine-intelligence exists?

*Rap. "Rap" is swedish for burp, so rap-music literally means burp-music. Cosmic synchronicity, no doubt.

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baker charlie's avatar

One of the reasons I come to Substack is the writing. The people I subscribe to tend to be witty and hold my attention, something bots cannot do. They have also managed to master the construction known as a paragraph, something the bot and bot inspired somehow truncate in odd places to symbolize brevity perhaps?

They haven't even been able to get speech to text to be anything close to accurate. Why should I trust them on this. I read recently about an AI chatbot begging the user not to delete it. Dave? Dave? What are you doing?...

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